Odd weather pattern

A few weeks ago this page listed a month-by-month synopsis of typical sunlight, cloud and climate conditions for our region. I concluded by offering the National Climate Center’s long-range forecast for this winter. It gave a 55 to 60 percent probability of warmer-than-normal conditions for the mid-Hudson Valley.

Well, they just changed their mind. It wasn’t due to last week’s brutal snowstorm and Januarylike temperatures. Their latest midmonth models say that our region has equal chances for a cold versus a warm winter, and they also expect normal levels of precipitation . . .

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