An upper-level low-pressure system moving in from Canada is set to bring significant rainfall and the first snowstorm of the season to Ulster County over the next few days. While the region is currently experiencing severe drought conditions, the anticipated precipitation may not be sufficient to make a significant impact but is nonetheless a welcome relief.
Rain is forecasted to develop early Thursday morning, with the heaviest downpours expected between 3 a.m. and noon. Showers will likely continue throughout the afternoon and into the evening. As temperatures drop Thursday evening, rain may mix with wet snow, particularly in higher elevations.
The Catskills region in western Ulster County could see heavy, wet snow accumulations ranging from four to eight inches, with elevations above 3,000 feet potentially receiving up to nine inches. Towns and villages such as Kerhonkson, West Shokan, West Hurley, Napanoch, Ellenville, Woodstock, and Sundown are included in a winter weather advisory effective from 4 p.m. Thursday, November 21, through 1 a.m. Saturday, November 23.
Daytime temperatures are expected to be in the 40s, dropping to 25–30 degrees in higher elevations at night. Total precipitation from the storm is anticipated to be between 2 and 2.5 inches of combined rain and snow.
Residents should prepare for slick road conditions, especially during the Thursday morning commute and in areas where heavy snow is expected. Drivers are advised to slow down and exercise caution.